Sector Rotation Signal

NSE · RRG + regime + hazard

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Discovered sectors (19)

  • Chemicals2026-05-31 15:19 · 8kb
  • Bank2026-05-31 15:19 · 162kb
  • Auto2026-05-31 15:19 · 210kb
  • Fmcg2026-05-31 15:19 · 164kb
  • Energy2026-05-31 15:19 · 163kb
  • Cpse2026-05-31 15:19 · 159kb
  • Commodities2026-05-31 15:19 · 193kb
  • Media2026-05-31 15:19 · 154kb
  • It2026-05-31 15:19 · 164kb
  • Housing2026-05-31 15:19 · 160kb
  • Healthcare2026-05-31 15:19 · 156kb
  • Pse2026-05-31 15:19 · 155kb
  • Pharma2026-05-31 15:19 · 161kb
  • Mobility2026-05-31 15:19 · 161kb
  • Mnc2026-05-31 15:19 · 163kb
  • Metal2026-05-31 15:19 · 155kb
  • Realty2026-05-31 15:19 · 144kb
  • Psu Bank2026-05-31 15:19 · 154kb
  • Nifty 502026-05-31 15:19 · 162kb

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Bear market — Nifty 50 below its 10-month average

Focus universe · as of 2026-05-29

Tradeable states this regime: Leading

Pharma · Leading · 4m · exit 62% Healthcare · Leading · 4m · exit 62%
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Sector conclusions · 17 sectors · as of 2026-05-29

  • Pharma › Reduce leading for 4m, 62% exit risk next month, +0.5% avg fwd edge
  • Healthcare › Reduce leading for 4m, 62% exit risk next month, +0.5% avg fwd edge
  • Housing › Avoid weakening for 1m, 22% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Mnc › Avoid weakening for 1m, 22% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Energy › Avoid weakening for 1m, 22% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Metal › Avoid weakening for 3m, 19% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Commodities › Avoid weakening for 2m, 27% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Pse › Avoid weakening for 1m, 22% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Mobility › Avoid weakening for 7m, 36% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Auto › Avoid weakening for 7m, 36% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Cpse › Avoid weakening for 2m, 27% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Bank › Avoid weakening for 2m, 27% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Psu Bank › Avoid weakening for 6m, 20% exit risk next month, -0.2% avg fwd edge
  • Media › Watch improving for 4m, 36% exit risk next month, -0.5% avg fwd edge
  • Realty › Watch improving for 2m, 25% exit risk next month, -0.5% avg fwd edge
  • Fmcg › Watch improving for 4m, 36% exit risk next month, -0.5% avg fwd edge
  • It › Watch improving for 1m, 20% exit risk next month, -0.5% avg fwd edge

Verdict: Accumulate = tradeable & fresh · Watch = turning up · Reduce = tradeable but aging · Avoid = out of favour this regime.

All sectors

SectorStateAgeRSExit%3MNext
★ Pharma › Leading 4m 102.1 62% +8% Leading 59%
★ Healthcare › Leading 4m 102.0 62% +6% Leading 59%
Housing › Weakening 1m 102.3 22% -1% Weakening 74%
Mnc › Weakening 1m 102.2 22% +4% Weakening 74%
Energy › Weakening 1m 102.1 22% +12% Weakening 74%
Metal › Weakening 3m 101.9 19% +12% Weakening 74%
Commodities › Weakening 2m 101.9 27% +4% Weakening 74%
Pse › Weakening 1m 101.4 22% -1% Weakening 74%
Mobility › Weakening 7m 101.3 36% -6% Weakening 74%
Auto › Weakening 7m 101.2 36% -5% Weakening 74%
Cpse › Weakening 2m 101.1 27% +0% Weakening 74%
Bank › Weakening 2m 100.6 27% -10% Weakening 74%
Psu Bank › Weakening 6m 100.6 20% -16% Weakening 74%
Media › Improving 4m 99.9 36% -1% Improving 78%
Realty › Improving 2m 99.7 25% -5% Improving 78%
Fmcg › Improving 4m 99.5 36% -5% Improving 78%
It › Improving 1m 98.7 20% -9% Improving 78%

★ = tradeable in current regime · Exit% = hazard-model probability the sector leaves its state next month · ran 2026-05-31 15:19

Analytical tool · index-level · gross of brokerage/STT/slippage · not investment advice